Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Dinamo Samarkand — Buxoro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Dinamo Samarkand 39%, Buxoro 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Samarkand — Buxoro What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Dinamo Samarkand not to lose | 66% | |
| Buxoro not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dinamo Samarkand
- Dinamo Samarkand goals
- Buxoro goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 17.09away · Navbahor Namangan2:3
- 10.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:0
- 05.09away · Kokand 19121:1
- 25.08Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
- 09.10Andijon3:2
- 19.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09Navbahor Namangan1:4
- 05.09away · Qizilqum Zarafshon2:3
- 24.08away · Kokand 19121:1
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Buxoro — Dinamo Samarkand3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 3828331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →