Serie B, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Catanzaro — Padova
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Catanzaro are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Catanzaro are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Catanzaro — Padova What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Catanzaro not to lose | 82% | |
| Padova not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Catanzaro
- Catanzaro goals
- Padova goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Mantova1:3
- 19.09away · Sampdoria1:2
- 12.09Carrarese1:0
- 05.09away · Südtirol0:2
- 30.08away · Pisa1:2
- 11.10Carrarese0:2
- 19.09away · Palermo1:2
- 12.09Ascoli1:0
- 06.09away · Cremonese1:3
- 29.08Hellas Verona1:1
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Padova — Catanzaro1:3
- 19.10.2025Catanzaro — Padova0:1
Table
Serie B on the same day
- CremoneseBeneventopreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- ModenaMantovapreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- SüdtirolCesenapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- SampdoriaVirtus Entellapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →