Serie B, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Südtirol — Cesena
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Südtirol are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Südtirol — Cesena What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Südtirol not to lose | 72% | |
| Cesena not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Südtirol
- Südtirol goals
- Cesena goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Benevento0:2
- 18.09away · Juve Stabia1:1
- 12.09Cremonese2:2
- 06.09Mantova1:1
- 29.08away · Virtus Entella2:1
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Cesena — Südtirol1:1
- 25.10.2025Südtirol — Cesena0:1
- 05.04.2025Südtirol — Cesena1:1
- 03.11.2024Cesena — Südtirol1:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- CremoneseBeneventopreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- ModenaMantovapreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- CatanzaroPadovapreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- SampdoriaVirtus Entellapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →