Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
CD UT Cajamarca — Deportivo Garcilaso
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Deportivo Garcilaso are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Garcilaso are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- CD UT Cajamarca: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CD UT Cajamarca 2 wins, Deportivo Garcilaso 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD UT Cajamarca — Deportivo Garcilaso What is xG? | 0.9–1.5 | |
| CD UT Cajamarca not to lose | 47% | |
| Deportivo Garcilaso not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap CD UT Cajamarca
- CD UT Cajamarca goals
- Deportivo Garcilaso goals
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Form
- 11.10Sporting Cristal0:1
- 20.09away · Sport Huancayo2:3
- 11.09ADC Juan Pablo II1:2
- 04.09away · Alianza Atlético2:3
- 29.08Universitario de Deportes2:4
- 10.10Sport Huancayo0:1
- 20.09Universitario de Deportes4:0
- 13.09away · Sport Boys0:1
- 06.09Atlético Grau4:2
- 30.08away · Alianza Lima1:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Deportivo Garcilaso — CD UT Cajamarca2:0
- 26.09.2025Deportivo Garcilaso — CD UT Cajamarca0:0
- 03.05.2025CD UT Cajamarca — Deportivo Garcilaso2:1
- 13.07.2024Deportivo Garcilaso — CD UT Cajamarca1:0
- 26.01.2024CD UT Cajamarca — Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Sport HuancayoFBC Melgarpreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Sporting CristalFC Cajamarcapreliminary7415111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:04.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →