Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

CD Varea — FC Andorra

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Model prediction for 29 October

CD Varea12%
Draw19%
FC Andorra68%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Andorra are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Andorra are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CD Varea — FC Andorra What is xG?0.8–2.2
CD Varea not to lose32%
FC Andorra not to lose88%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CD Varea
  • CD Varea goals
  • FC Andorra goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CD Varea

  • 31.10Levante0:3
  • 17.12Las Palmas0:4

FC Andorra

  • 11.10Castellón1:0
  • 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
  • 26.09away · Granada3:2
  • 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
  • 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →