Scottish Premiership, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Celtic — Heart of Midlothian
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 61% against 18% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Celtic — No. 1, 21 pts; Heart of Midlothian — No. 3, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Celtic 2 wins, Heart of Midlothian 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celtic — Heart of Midlothian What is xG? | 2.1–1.1 | |
| Celtic not to lose | 82% | |
| Heart of Midlothian not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celtic
- Celtic goals
- Heart of Midlothian goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 20.09Rangers0:1
- 17.09Ferencváros1:3
- 09.09away · St. Johnstone1:0
- 05.09away · St. Mirren2:1
- 10.10St. Mirren5:0
- 19.09away · Kilmarnock1:1
- 15.09away · Falkirk1:2
- 06.09Dundee FC2:1
- 03.09away · Hibernian3:1
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Celtic — Heart of Midlothian3:1
- 25.01.2026Heart of Midlothian — Celtic2:2
- 07.12.2025Celtic — Heart of Midlothian1:2
- 26.10.2025Heart of Midlothian — Celtic3:1
- 29.03.2025Celtic — Heart of Midlothian3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →