Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Central Córdoba de Santiago — Estudiantes

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Model prediction and result

2:2Came true
Central Córdoba de Santiago32%
Draw32%
Estudiantes37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), came true.

Evenly matched: Central Córdoba de Santiago 32%, Estudiantes 37%, draw 32%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Estudiantes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Central Córdoba de Santiago — Estudiantes What is xG?1.0–1.1
Central Córdoba de Santiago not to lose63%
Estudiantes not to lose68%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Central Córdoba de Santiago
  • Central Córdoba de Santiago goals
  • Estudiantes goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Central Córdoba de Santiago

  • 05.10away · Deportivo Riestra1:1
  • 19.09Defensa y Justicia2:2
  • 12.09away · Boca Juniors1:3
  • 06.09Independiente0:1
  • 30.08away · Talleres0:0

Estudiantes

  • 06.10Gimnasia Mendoza3:0
  • 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
  • 22.09away · Lanús1:2
  • 17.09away · Corinthians1:0
  • 12.09Club Atlético Platense2:1

Head to head

  • 24.03.2026Estudiantes — Central Córdoba de Santiago5:0
  • 30.11.2025Central Córdoba de Santiago — Estudiantes0:1
  • 30.08.2025Central Córdoba de Santiago — Estudiantes2:0
  • 22.02.2025Estudiantes — Central Córdoba de Santiago3:2
  • 10.11.2024Central Córdoba de Santiago — Estudiantes1:1

Next matches

Liga Profesional on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
  • XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 2:0. Model's score: 1:1.1.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →