Egyptian Premier League, round 7 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Ceramica Cleopatra — Petrojet-Suez

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Model prediction for 21 October

Ceramica Cleopatra50%
Draw28%
Petrojet-Suez22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ceramica Cleopatra are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ceramica Cleopatra are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Ceramica Cleopatra — No. 6, 12 pts; Petrojet-Suez — No. 9, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 3 meetings: Ceramica Cleopatra 3 wins, Petrojet-Suez 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra — Petrojet-Suez What is xG?1.6–1.0
Ceramica Cleopatra not to lose78%
Petrojet-Suez not to lose50%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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Form

Ceramica Cleopatra

  • 12.10away · Pyramids FC1:4
  • 14.09National Bank2:0
  • 08.09away · Smouha SC2:0
  • 02.09Modern Sport FC2:0
  • 28.08away · Al Ittihad Alexandria3:1

Petrojet-Suez

  • 13.10Wadi Degla FC2:2
  • 16.09away · El Gouna FC2:1
  • 07.09Al Masry SC2:1
  • 31.08away · Zamalek SC1:2
  • 26.08Tala'ea El Gaish2:3

Head to head

  • 02.11.2025Ceramica Cleopatra — Petrojet-Suez2:1
  • 05.05.2025Petrojet-Suez — Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
  • 28.02.2025Ceramica Cleopatra — Petrojet-Suez4:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Al Ittihad Alexandria64118–4+413
6Ceramica Cleopatra640211–7+412
7National Bank63037–709
8Al Mokawloon Al Arab62227–6+18
9Petrojet-Suez622210–1008
10ZED FC62225–6-18

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →