Paraguayan Primera Division · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla
Cerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo
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In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cerro Porteño to win (62%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.
Cerro Porteño are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cerro Porteño are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 86% | |
| 2 de Mayo not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cerro Porteño
- Cerro Porteño goals
- 2 de Mayo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
- 12.09away · Guaraní1:1
- 08.09Nacional (PAR)1:0
- 04.09away · Recoleta3:1
- 26.09away · Rubio Ñú2:2
- 19.09away · Nacional (PAR)0:3
- 12.09Libertad0:2
- 06.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo2:1
- 02.09Luqueño2:2
Head to head
- 29.07.20262 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño2:1
- 05.04.2026Cerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo3:0
- 08.02.20262 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño0:0
- 11.10.20252 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño0:0
- 30.07.2025Cerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo3:2
Next matches
- LuqueñoCerro Porteño11 October · Paraguayan Primera2128512The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
- 2 de MayoSportivo Ameliano12 October · Paraguayan Primera363232XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.2
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 5926151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →