Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Monumental Río Parapití
2 de Mayo — Sportivo Ameliano
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (32%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 32% fails in about 68 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: 2 de Mayo 36%, Sportivo Ameliano 32%, draw 32%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: 2 de Mayo 1 win, Sportivo Ameliano 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: 2 de Mayo — Sportivo Ameliano What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| 2 de Mayo not to lose | 68% | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap 2 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo goals
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 06.10away · Cerro Porteño2:0
- 26.09away · Rubio Ñú2:2
- 19.09away · Nacional (PAR)0:3
- 12.09Libertad0:2
- 06.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo2:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
- 26.09away · Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 19.09away · Libertad1:1
- 11.09Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
- 07.09away · Luqueño2:1
Head to head
- 01.08.2026Sportivo Ameliano — 2 de Mayo1:1
- 11.04.20262 de Mayo — Sportivo Ameliano1:2
- 15.02.2026Sportivo Ameliano — 2 de Mayo3:0
- 10.11.2025Sportivo Ameliano — 2 de Mayo2:3
- 23.08.20252 de Mayo — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
Next matches
- Olimpia2 de Mayo22 October · Paraguayan Primera · preliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Cerro PorteñoSportivo Ameliano22 October · Paraguayan Primera · preliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 4231271The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →