Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
CF Montréal — Nashville SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nashville SC are clear favourites: 48% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nashville SC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF Montréal — Nashville SC What is xG? | 1.2–1.7 | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 52% | |
| Nashville SC not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CF Montréal
- CF Montréal goals
- Nashville SC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Toronto FC1:2
- 27.09FC Cincinnati3:1
- 20.09Columbus Crew0:2
- 13.09away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 10.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 11.10away · Austin FC4:1
- 27.09Toronto FC2:0
- 20.09Chicago Fire FC3:0
- 13.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 10.09away · Toronto FC1:2
Head to head
- 23.07.2026Nashville SC — CF Montréal1:0
- 04.10.2025CF Montréal — Nashville SC1:1
- 23.03.2025Nashville SC — CF Montréal3:0
- 26.05.2024CF Montréal — Nashville SC0:0
- 05.05.2024Nashville SC — CF Montréal4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- Columbus CrewToronto FCpreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →