Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Cienciano — CD UT Cajamarca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Cienciano are clear favourites: 76% against 9% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cienciano are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- CD UT Cajamarca: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Cienciano 3 wins, CD UT Cajamarca 0, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Cienciano 11, CD UT Cajamarca 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cienciano — CD UT Cajamarca What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Cienciano not to lose | 91% | |
| CD UT Cajamarca not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cienciano
- Cienciano goals
- CD UT Cajamarca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:0
- 30.09Los Chankas1:1
- 23.09away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma1:2
- 18.09away · Montevideo City Torque0:3
- 11.09Montevideo City Torque2:0
- 11.10Sporting Cristal0:1
- 20.09away · Sport Huancayo2:3
- 11.09ADC Juan Pablo II1:2
- 04.09away · Alianza Atlético2:3
- 29.08Universitario de Deportes2:4
Head to head
- 26.04.2026CD UT Cajamarca — Cienciano2:2
- 13.10.2025CD UT Cajamarca — Cienciano0:2
- 25.05.2025Cienciano — CD UT Cajamarca6:1
- 13.09.2024CD UT Cajamarca — Cienciano1:2
- 07.04.2024Cienciano — CD UT Cajamarca1:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →