U.S. Open Cup (Lamar Hunt), playoff · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Columbus Crew — St. Louis City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
St. Louis City are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Columbus Crew are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- St. Louis City: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Crew — St. Louis City What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Columbus Crew not to lose | 53% | |
| St. Louis City not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew goals
- St. Louis City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Orlando City2:3
- 28.09Inter Miami CF2:1
- 20.09away · CF Montréal2:0
- 17.09Orlando City2:1
- 13.09Red Bull New York0:1
- 12.10LA Galaxy6:2
- 01.10away · Red Bull New York3:0
- 20.09Toronto FC3:1
- 17.09away · Colorado Rapids3:0
- 13.09Minnesota United4:2
Head to head
- 14.04.2025St. Louis City — Columbus Crew1:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →