Serie A, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Como — Sassuolo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Como are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Como are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Como — Sassuolo What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Como not to lose | 85% | |
| Sassuolo not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Como
- Como goals
- Sassuolo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Sassuolo — Como2:1
- 28.11.2025Como — Sassuolo2:0
- 24.09.2025Como — Sassuolo3:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- CagliariBolognapreliminary303338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- NapoliRomapreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- LazioParmapreliminary5727151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →