Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Conquense — Castellón
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Castellón are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Castellón are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Conquense — Castellón What is xG? | 0.7–2.5 | |
| Conquense not to lose | 24% | |
| Castellón not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Conquense
- Conquense goals
- Castellón goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · FC Andorra0:1
- 04.10AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 28.09away · Leganés2:0
- 19.09Tenerife5:0
- 12.09away · Girona2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Atlético BalearesEldensepreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- GuijueloSporting Gijónpreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- CD LaredoBurgos CFpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.3
- Real ÁvilaUnionistas de Salamancapreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →