Cremonese — Benevento
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cremonese are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cremonese are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cremonese — Benevento What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Cremonese not to lose | 79% | |
| Benevento not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cremonese
- Cremonese goals
- Benevento goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Arezzo0:0
- 19.09Virtus Entella0:0
- 12.09away · Cesena2:2
- 06.09Padova3:1
- 01.09away · Parma2:0
- 10.10Cesena2:0
- 19.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 11.09Hellas Verona3:1
- 05.09away · Ascoli0:1
- 30.08Südtirol1:1
Head to head
- 01.03.2022Benevento — Cremonese1:1
- 17.10.2021Cremonese — Benevento1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Pisa | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
Serie B on the same day
- ModenaMantovapreliminary5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- SüdtirolCesenapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- CatanzaroPadovapreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- SampdoriaVirtus Entellapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →