Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Criciúma — Ponte Preta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Criciúma are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 33%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Criciúma are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Criciúma — Ponte Preta What is xG? | 2.3–0.5 | |
| Criciúma not to lose | 95% | |
| Ponte Preta not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 33% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 67% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
- 13.10América-MG1:0
- 09.10away · Ceará0:1
- 03.10away · Londrina2:0
- 27.09Avaí3:0
- 23.09Operário-PR0:2
- 13.10away · Novorizontino1:5
- 07.10Juventude0:2
- 03.10away · Cuiabá0:2
- 30.09away · Botafogo SP0:2
- 20.09CRB1:0
Head to head
- 09.07.2026Ponte Preta — Criciúma1:2
- 03.08.2023Criciúma — Ponte Preta2:1
- 22.04.2023Ponte Preta — Criciúma1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 19, Relegation | América-MG | 33 | 4 | -33 | 17 |
| 20, Relegation | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | -55 | 13 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- Botafogo SPSport Recifepreliminary372933XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →