Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Botafogo SP — Sport Recife

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Model prediction for 31 October

Botafogo SP37%
Draw29%
Sport Recife33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Botafogo SP 37%, Sport Recife 33%, draw 29%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Botafogo SP — Sport Recife What is xG?1.1–1.1
Botafogo SP not to lose67%
Sport Recife not to lose63%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Botafogo SP
  • Botafogo SP goals
  • Sport Recife goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Botafogo SP

  • 13.10Ceará1:0
  • 08.10away · Operário-PR2:1
  • 04.10Vila Nova0:1
  • 30.09Ponte Preta2:0
  • 20.09away · Athletic Club MG1:1

Sport Recife

  • 11.10away · Atlético-GO1:1
  • 07.10São Bernardo2:1
  • 02.10away · Athletic Club MG2:1
  • 26.09away · Náutico1:3
  • 19.09Juventude2:1

Head to head

  • 11.07.2026Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:3
  • 21.10.2024Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:1
  • 29.06.2024Botafogo SP — Sport Recife1:1
  • 04.09.2023Botafogo SP — Sport Recife1:1
  • 20.05.2023Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7CRB331571151–47+452
8Sport Recife331312845–35+1051
9Operário-PR331391144–45-148
15Ceará331191335–40-542
16Botafogo SP331181437–38-141
17, RelegationAvaí331061733–43-1036

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →