Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Cuiabá — São Bernardo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cuiabá are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cuiabá are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cuiabá — São Bernardo What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Cuiabá not to lose | 81% | |
| São Bernardo not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cuiabá
- Cuiabá goals
- São Bernardo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Juventude2:2
- 07.10away · Sport Recife1:2
- 03.10CRB3:1
- 26.09away · Novorizontino0:0
- 19.09Atlético-GO1:0
Head to head
- 12.07.2026São Bernardo — Cuiabá2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Goiás | 33 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiabá | 33 | 11 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- NovorizontinoOperário-PRpreliminary6721131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- FortalezaAtlético-GOpreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →