Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Fortaleza — Atlético-GO
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fortaleza are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fortaleza are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fortaleza — Atlético-GO What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Fortaleza not to lose | 75% | |
| Atlético-GO not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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- Handicap Fortaleza
- Fortaleza goals
- Atlético-GO goals
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Form
- 12.10CRB2:2
- 08.10away · América-MG1:0
- 03.10Náutico1:1
- 28.09Athletic Club MG2:2
- 21.09away · Londrina2:1
- 11.10Sport Recife1:1
- 08.10away · CRB1:3
- 03.10América-MG2:0
- 27.09away · Goiás1:0
- 19.09away · São Bernardo0:1
Head to head
- 13.07.2026Atlético-GO — Fortaleza1:0
- 05.12.2024Atlético-GO — Fortaleza3:1
- 22.07.2024Fortaleza — Atlético-GO3:1
- 06.11.2022Fortaleza — Atlético-GO1:1
- 18.07.2022Atlético-GO — Fortaleza0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- NovorizontinoOperário-PRpreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- CuiabáSão Bernardopreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →