Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Cusco FC — Sporting Cristal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cusco FC are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cusco FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cusco FC — Sporting Cristal What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Cusco FC not to lose | 73% | |
| Sporting Cristal not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cusco FC
- Cusco FC goals
- Sporting Cristal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Alianza Lima1:2
- 19.09away · FC Cajamarca2:1
- 12.09FBC Melgar0:1
- 06.09Club Deportivo Moquegua2:0
- 31.08away · Cienciano2:1
- 11.10away · CD UT Cajamarca1:0
- 19.09Atlético Grau3:1
- 13.09away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:1
- 06.09Los Chankas5:0
- 30.08away · Sport Boys0:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Sporting Cristal — Cusco FC2:2
- 15.12.2025Cusco FC — Sporting Cristal2:0
- 11.12.2025Sporting Cristal — Cusco FC1:0
- 15.09.2025Cusco FC — Sporting Cristal3:2
- 13.04.2025Sporting Cristal — Cusco FC1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Sport HuancayoAlianza Atléticopreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →