Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Sport Huancayo — Alianza Atlético
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sport Huancayo 40%, Alianza Atlético 33%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Huancayo — Alianza Atlético What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Sport Huancayo not to lose | 67% | |
| Alianza Atlético not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sport Huancayo
- Sport Huancayo goals
- Alianza Atlético goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 20.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 12.09away · Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 05.09Sport Boys2:1
- 30.08away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:1
- 11.10away · Sport Boys3:1
- 18.09Comerciantes Unidos2:1
- 13.09away · Atlético Grau1:3
- 04.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 30.08away · Club Deportivo Moquegua4:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Alianza Atlético — Sport Huancayo4:1
- 18.07.2025Alianza Atlético — Sport Huancayo0:0
- 07.02.2025Sport Huancayo — Alianza Atlético2:1
- 05.08.2024Alianza Atlético — Sport Huancayo1:1
- 23.02.2024Sport Huancayo — Alianza Atlético4:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Cusco FCSporting Cristalpreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →