2. Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Darmstadt — Magdeburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Darmstadt 37%, Magdeburg 37%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Darmstadt are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Darmstadt — No. 14, 7 pts; Magdeburg — No. 4, 13 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Darmstadt 1 win, Magdeburg 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Darmstadt — Magdeburg What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Darmstadt not to lose | 63% | |
| Magdeburg not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Darmstadt
- Darmstadt goals
- Magdeburg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Energie Cottbus3:1
- 18.09away · Wolfsburg1:5
- 11.09Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- 05.09away · Kaiserslautern0:3
- 30.08Hannover 960:1
- 10.10Hannover 963:0
- 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
- 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
- 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Magdeburg — Darmstadt1:1
- 19.10.2025Darmstadt — Magdeburg0:0
- 02.03.2025Magdeburg — Darmstadt4:1
- 28.09.2024Darmstadt — Magdeburg1:2
- 19.05.2023Darmstadt — Magdeburg1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- KaiserslauternHertha BSCpreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- WolfsburgVfL Osnabrückpreliminary6519161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.3
- Karlsruher SCFC Heidenheimpreliminary2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →