Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Delfín — Deportivo Cuenca

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Model prediction for 1 November

Delfín38%
Draw32%
Deportivo Cuenca30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Delfín are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 32%.

The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Deportivo Cuenca: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Delfín 2 wins, Deportivo Cuenca 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Delfín — Deportivo Cuenca What is xG?1.0–0.9
Delfín not to lose70%
Deportivo Cuenca not to lose62%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.534%
Total under 2.566%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Delfín
  • Delfín goals
  • Deportivo Cuenca goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Delfín

  • 09.10Mushuc Runa3:2
  • 20.09away · Técnico Universitario1:1
  • 14.09away · Barcelona SC1:1
  • 07.09Universidad Católica (ECU)0:1
  • 02.09Técnico Universitario1:0

Deportivo Cuenca

  • 11.10away · Orense0:0
  • 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
  • 13.09away · LDU de Quito1:1
  • 07.09Libertad (ECU)0:1
  • 03.09Guayaquil City1:0

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Delfín1:0
  • 22.02.2026Delfín — Deportivo Cuenca1:0
  • 06.12.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Delfín0:0
  • 01.11.2025Delfín — Deportivo Cuenca2:0
  • 14.07.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Delfín1:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

LigaPro Serie A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →