La Liga, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Deportivo A Coruña — Osasuna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Deportivo A Coruña 36%, Osasuna 33%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Osasuna are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Deportivo A Coruña — No. 8, 10 pts; Osasuna — No. 16, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Deportivo A Coruña: winless in 4; Osasuna: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña — Osasuna What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Deportivo A Coruña not to lose | 67% | |
| Osasuna not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Deportivo A Coruña
- Deportivo A Coruña goals
- Osasuna goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Real Sociedad2:3
- 20.09Real Betis1:1
- 16.09Sevilla0:1
- 13.09away · Getafe1:1
- 05.09away · Villarreal3:2
- 11.10away · Real Betis2:5
- 19.09Rayo Vallecano1:1
- 16.09away · Atlético Madrid0:4
- 12.09Espanyol0:2
- 06.09away · Deportivo Alavés2:5
Head to head
- 16.12.2021Deportivo A Coruña — Osasuna1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →