Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario

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Model prediction for 16 October

Deportivo Cuenca53%
Draw27%
Técnico Universitario20%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Deportivo Cuenca are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Cuenca are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Deportivo Cuenca: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Cuenca 3 wins, Técnico Universitario 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario What is xG?1.4–0.8
Deportivo Cuenca not to lose80%
Técnico Universitario not to lose47%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Deportivo Cuenca
  • Deportivo Cuenca goals
  • Técnico Universitario goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Deportivo Cuenca

  • 11.10away · Orense0:0
  • 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
  • 13.09away · LDU de Quito1:1
  • 07.09Libertad (ECU)0:1
  • 03.09Guayaquil City1:0

Técnico Universitario

  • 10.10away · Manta0:1
  • 20.09Delfín1:1
  • 13.09away · Leones del Norte1:0
  • 05.09LDU de Quito1:3
  • 02.09away · Delfín0:1

Head to head

  • 29.08.2026Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca3:1
  • 02.05.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario2:1
  • 14.09.2025Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca0:2
  • 17.05.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario2:0
  • 05.10.2024Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario1:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →