Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Deportivo Garcilaso — Sport Huancayo
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In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Deportivo Garcilaso to win (71%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 71% fails in about 29 matches out of 100 on average.
Deportivo Garcilaso are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 18%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Garcilaso are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Garcilaso — Sport Huancayo What is xG? | 2.2–0.8 | |
| Deportivo Garcilaso not to lose | 90% | |
| Sport Huancayo not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Garcilaso
- Deportivo Garcilaso goals
- Sport Huancayo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09Universitario de Deportes4:0
- 13.09away · Sport Boys0:1
- 06.09Atlético Grau4:2
- 30.08away · Alianza Lima1:0
- 23.08Cusco FC4:1
- 20.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 12.09away · Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 05.09Sport Boys2:1
- 30.08away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:1
- 22.08Club Deportivo Moquegua0:2
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Sport Huancayo — Deportivo Garcilaso2:1
- 24.08.2025Deportivo Garcilaso — Sport Huancayo1:1
- 05.04.2025Sport Huancayo — Deportivo Garcilaso0:3
- 19.07.2024Sport Huancayo — Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 05.02.2024Deportivo Garcilaso — Sport Huancayo0:2
Next matches
- Sport HuancayoCusco FC16 October · Peruvian Liga 13728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso18 October · Peruvian Liga 15326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 4626281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
- 5125241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →