French Ligue 2, round 8 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Stade Gaston-Gérard
Dijon — Metz
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Missed
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Metz to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Metz are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Metz are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dijon — Metz What is xG? | 1.6–2.0 | |
| Dijon not to lose | 54% | |
| Metz not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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- Handicap Dijon
- Dijon goals
- Metz goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 18.09away · Annecy FC2:1
- 11.09Laval3:2
- 04.09away · Boulogne1:1
- 31.08Saint-Étienne2:3
- 21.08away · Clermont Foot1:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2021Dijon — Metz1:5
- 08.11.2020Metz — Dijon1:1
- 21.12.2019Dijon — Metz2:2
Table
Next matches
- ReimsDijon16 October · Ligue 25225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.6
- MetzSochaux17 October · Ligue 25825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →