Swedish Allsvenskan, round 27 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Djurgården — Degerfors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Djurgården are clear favourites: 73% against 9% for the opponent, draw 18%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Djurgården are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Djurgården — Degerfors What is xG? | 2.1–0.7 | |
| Djurgården not to lose | 91% | |
| Degerfors not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Djurgården
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- Degerfors goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Hammarby1:0
- 20.09Elfsborg1:2
- 14.09GAIS2:0
- 07.09away · Kalmar FF1:0
- 03.09away · Mjällby2:0
- 10.10away · Mjällby1:1
- 20.09Hammarby0:1
- 14.09away · Sirius0:2
- 05.09Halmstads BK2:0
- 29.08away · Elfsborg0:2
Head to head
- 25.07.2026Degerfors — Djurgården0:1
- 04.10.2025Degerfors — Djurgården1:1
- 06.07.2025Djurgården — Degerfors5:1
- 27.08.2023Djurgården — Degerfors4:1
- 30.04.2023Degerfors — Djurgården2:1
Table
Allsvenskan on the same day
- Malmö FFHammarbypreliminary2426502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- HäckenIFK Göteborgpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- ElfsborgÖrgrytepreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- Västerås SKBrommapojkarnapreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →