Swedish Allsvenskan, round 27 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Malmö FF — Hammarby
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hammarby are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hammarby are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Malmö FF — Hammarby What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| Malmö FF not to lose | 50% | |
| Hammarby not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Malmö FF
- Malmö FF goals
- Hammarby goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Djurgården0:1
- 20.09away · Degerfors1:0
- 13.09Brommapojkarna3:1
- 06.09away · Örgryte1:1
- 30.08away · AIK2:3
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Hammarby — Malmö FF4:1
- 27.10.2025Malmö FF — Hammarby1:3
- 23.04.2025Hammarby — Malmö FF2:0
- 02.11.2024Hammarby — Malmö FF2:2
- 07.04.2024Malmö FF — Hammarby2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 | Häcken | 23 | 10 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- DjurgårdenDegerforspreliminary731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- HäckenIFK Göteborgpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- ElfsborgÖrgrytepreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- Västerås SKBrommapojkarnapreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →