Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Djurgården — Örgryte
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Djurgården are clear favourites: 80% against 7% for the opponent, draw 13%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Djurgården are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Djurgården — Örgryte What is xG? | 2.7–0.8 | |
| Djurgården not to lose | 93% | |
| Örgryte not to lose | 20% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Djurgården
- Djurgården goals
- Örgryte goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Hammarby1:0
- 20.09Elfsborg1:2
- 14.09GAIS2:0
- 07.09away · Kalmar FF1:0
- 03.09away · Mjällby2:0
- 11.10away · Häcken0:3
- 19.09Sirius1:2
- 13.09away · Malmö FF1:4
- 06.09Hammarby1:1
- 30.08away · IFK Göteborg0:1
Head to head
- 20.07.2026Örgryte — Djurgården0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Sirius | 23 | 17 | +25 | 54 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | -16 | 19 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- HäckenDegerforspreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- SiriusAIKpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- Kalmar FFBrommapojkarnapreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →