Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Häcken — Degerfors

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Model prediction for 24 October

Häcken67%
Draw20%
Degerfors13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Häcken are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Häcken are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Häcken — Degerfors What is xG?2.0–0.8
Häcken not to lose87%
Degerfors not to lose33%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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Form

Häcken

  • 11.10Örgryte3:0
  • 20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
  • 11.09Mjällby1:1
  • 05.09away · GAIS0:0
  • 29.08Västerås SK1:3

Degerfors

  • 10.10away · Mjällby1:1
  • 20.09Hammarby0:1
  • 14.09away · Sirius0:2
  • 05.09Halmstads BK2:0
  • 29.08away · Elfsborg0:2

Head to head

  • 02.05.2026Degerfors — Häcken1:1
  • 10.08.2025Degerfors — Häcken0:0
  • 23.04.2025Häcken — Degerfors3:4
  • 03.09.2023Degerfors — Häcken1:0
  • 13.05.2023Häcken — Degerfors6:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Elfsborg23117535–22+1340
5Häcken23109442–30+1239
6Malmö FF23113938–33+536
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520
14, Relegation play-offKalmar FF23541421–37-1619

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • SiriusAIKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →