Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadion Spartak
Dnepr Mogilev — Din. Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Din. Minsk to win (63%), came true.
Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dnepr Mogilev — Din. Minsk What is xG? | 0.7–1.9 | |
| Dnepr Mogilev not to lose | 37% | |
| Din. Minsk not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Dynamo Brest2:4
- 13.09ML Vitebsk1:1
- 06.09away · Baranovici1:2
- 30.08Isloch0:0
- 24.08away · Zhodino0:0
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Din. Minsk — Dnepr Mogilev3:1
- 16.09.2024Din. Minsk — Dnepr Mogilev2:0
- 27.04.2024Dnepr Mogilev — Din. Minsk0:2
- 04.09.2022Din. Minsk — Dnepr Mogilev4:0
- 23.04.2022Dnepr Mogilev — Din. Minsk0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Isloch | 23 | 13 | +19 | 46 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Next matches
- Din. MinskSlavia Mozyr15 October · Belarusian Premier League6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Dnepr MogilevBATE18 October · Belarusian Premier League2928432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 2727452The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.1
- 2827452The most likely outcome came true: 21:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 1:2.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →