Scottish Premiership, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Dundee United — Aberdeen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dundee United are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dundee United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dundee United — Aberdeen What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Dundee United not to lose | 75% | |
| Aberdeen not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Dundee United
- Dundee United goals
- Aberdeen goals
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Form
- 10.10Hibernian1:0
- 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0
- 05.09Falkirk1:1
- 02.09away · Motherwell0:3
- 29.08away · Kilmarnock4:0
- 11.10St. Johnstone0:1
- 19.09away · Hibernian1:1
- 15.09away · Motherwell4:0
- 05.09Kilmarnock0:0
- 02.09away · Celtic0:3
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Aberdeen — Dundee United2:0
- 24.02.2026Dundee United — Aberdeen0:0
- 27.12.2025Aberdeen — Dundee United1:1
- 23.09.2025Dundee United — Aberdeen2:0
- 17.05.2025Dundee United — Aberdeen2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- FalkirkKilmarnockpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- RangersSt. Johnstonepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- St. MirrenDundee FCpreliminary4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →