2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg

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Model prediction for 18 October

Dynamo Dresden38%
Draw27%
Magdeburg35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Dynamo Dresden 38%, Magdeburg 35%, draw 27%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg What is xG?1.5–1.4
Dynamo Dresden not to lose65%
Magdeburg not to lose62%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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  • Handicap Dynamo Dresden
  • Dynamo Dresden goals
  • Magdeburg goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Dynamo Dresden

  • 10.10away · VfL Osnabrück1:1
  • 19.09Hertha BSC1:2
  • 12.09away · Eintracht Braunschweig2:2
  • 05.09Bochum1:2
  • 29.08away · FC Heidenheim3:5

Magdeburg

  • 10.10Hannover 963:0
  • 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
  • 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
  • 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
  • 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Magdeburg — Dynamo Dresden1:2
  • 09.08.2025Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsFC Heidenheim742114–12+214
4Magdeburg741214–9+513
5Wolfsburg733119–12+712
15Greuther Fürth713310–13-36
16, Relegation play-offDynamo Dresden71249–15-65
17, RelegationKarlsruher SC71246–14-85

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →