Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eintracht Frankfurt are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Eintracht Frankfurt — No. 14, 5 pts; Hamburger SV — No. 12, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 2 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 wins, Hamburger SV 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV What is xG? | 2.1–1.3 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 80% | |
| Hamburger SV not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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- Handicap Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- Hamburger SV goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
- 19.09Freiburg2:2
- 12.09away · Mainz 053:1
- 06.09Augsburg1:4
- 29.08away · Union Berlin3:3
- 10.10away · Hoffenheim3:2
- 19.091. FC Köln2:1
- 13.09away · RB Leipzig0:5
- 06.09Mainz 050:5
- 29.08away · Borussia Dortmund0:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV1:2
- 20.12.2025Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- Union Berlin1. FC Kölnpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →