Egyptian Premier League, round 7 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
El Gouna FC — Smouha SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Evenly matched: El Gouna FC 36%, Smouha SC 29%, draw 36%.
The model expects few goals: 1.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 20%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: El Gouna FC — Smouha SC What is xG? | 0.8–0.7 | |
| El Gouna FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Smouha SC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 20% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 80% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap El Gouna FC
- El Gouna FC goals
- Smouha SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Al Ittihad Alexandria1:2
- 16.09Petrojet-Suez1:2
- 09.09away · Pyramids FC0:1
- 02.09Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:1
- 28.08away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
- 12.10Ghazl Al Mahalla1:0
- 14.09away · Tala'ea El Gaish1:0
- 08.09Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
- 03.09away · Al Ahly SC0:1
- 26.08Asyut Petroleum0:0
Head to head
- 27.10.2025Smouha SC — El Gouna FC0:1
- 28.04.2025El Gouna FC — Smouha SC1:1
- 01.12.2024Smouha SC — El Gouna FC0:0
- 17.04.2024El Gouna FC — Smouha SC1:0
- 20.09.2023Smouha SC — El Gouna FC1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Masry SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Tala'ea El Gaish | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl Al Mahalla | 6 | 0 | -9 | 1 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 5528171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- 4032291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →