Egyptian Premier League, round 7 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Al Masry SC — Abo Qir Semad

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Model prediction for 19 October

Al Masry SC55%
Draw28%
Abo Qir Semad17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Al Masry SC are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al Masry SC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Al Masry SC — No. 12, 7 pts; Abo Qir Semad — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Al Masry SC: winless in 4; Abo Qir Semad: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Days of rest before the match: Al Masry SC 8, Abo Qir Semad 6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Masry SC — Abo Qir Semad What is xG?1.4–0.7
Al Masry SC not to lose83%
Abo Qir Semad not to lose45%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.536%
Total under 2.564%

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Form

Al Masry SC

  • 11.10away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
  • 15.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
  • 07.09away · Petrojet-Suez1:2
  • 31.08Pyramids FC0:1
  • 27.08away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab3:2

Abo Qir Semad

  • 13.10Asyut Petroleum1:2
  • 15.09away · Al Ahly SC0:2
  • 08.09away · Zamalek SC0:2
  • 02.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
  • 27.08away · Pyramids FC0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Olympic El Qanah FC61416–607
12Al Masry SC62136–8-27
13Smouha SC62132–4-27
17Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI61148–12-44
18Abo Qir Semad61052–10-83
19El Gouna FC60244–8-42

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →