Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Racing Club
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1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Racing Club to win (40%), came true.
Racing Club are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 31%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Racing Club are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Racing Club What is xG? | 0.9–1.2 | |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to lose | 60% | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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Form
- 21.09away · Belgrano1:2
- 15.09away · Instituto1:2
- 04.09Sarmiento0:2
- 30.08away · Huracán1:1
- 22.08San Lorenzo0:0
- 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
- 19.09Sarmiento3:1
- 14.09away · Huracán1:2
- 07.09Atlético Tucumán1:2
- 31.08away · Independiente Rivadavia1:3
Head to head
- 17.03.2026Racing Club — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
Next matches
- River PlateEstudiantes de Río Cuarto11 October · Liga Profesional771661The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- Racing ClubBelgrano12 October · Liga Profesional4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4731231The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 5129191The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →