Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio Monumental
River Plate — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, River Plate to win (77%), came true.
River Plate are clear favourites: 77% against 6% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings River Plate are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: River Plate — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto What is xG? | 2.0–0.5 | |
| River Plate not to lose | 94% | |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap River Plate
- River Plate goals
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Huracán1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
- 30.08away · Banfield3:2
- 27.08Santa Fe1:1
- 05.10Racing Club1:2
- 21.09away · Belgrano1:2
- 15.09away · Instituto1:2
- 04.09Sarmiento0:2
- 30.08away · Huracán1:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — River Plate0:2
Next matches
- SarmientoRiver Plate15 October · Liga Profesional2330472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Estudiantes de Río CuartoAldosivi19 October · Liga Profesional4331271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5726171The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 413326XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:0.1.6
- 343135XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.1.9
- 4828241The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →