Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Estudiantes — San Lorenzo

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Model prediction for 19 October

Estudiantes57%
Draw27%
San Lorenzo16%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Estudiantes are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Estudiantes are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Estudiantes — San Lorenzo What is xG?1.4–0.7
Estudiantes not to lose84%
San Lorenzo not to lose43%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.534%
Total under 2.566%

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  • Handicap Estudiantes
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  • San Lorenzo goals
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Form

Estudiantes

  • 10.10away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
  • 06.10Gimnasia Mendoza3:0
  • 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
  • 22.09away · Lanús1:2
  • 17.09away · Corinthians1:0

San Lorenzo

  • 11.10Deportivo Riestra1:0
  • 03.10away · Defensa y Justicia0:3
  • 20.09Boca Juniors0:2
  • 14.09away · Independiente1:1
  • 06.09Talleres1:0

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026San Lorenzo — Estudiantes1:0
  • 06.11.2024San Lorenzo — Estudiantes1:1
  • 22.06.2023Estudiantes — San Lorenzo1:1
  • 07.08.2022San Lorenzo — Estudiantes0:0
  • 27.08.2021Estudiantes — San Lorenzo2:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →