Scottish Premiership, round 12 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Falkirk — Celtic
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Falkirk — Celtic What is xG? | 1.0–2.1 | |
| Falkirk not to lose | 37% | |
| Celtic not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Form
- 10.10Dundee FC1:2
- 19.09away · St. Johnstone1:1
- 15.09Heart of Midlothian2:1
- 05.09away · Dundee United1:1
- 02.09Rangers1:2
- 11.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 20.09Rangers0:1
- 17.09Ferencváros1:3
- 09.09away · St. Johnstone1:0
- 05.09away · St. Mirren2:1
Head to head
- 29.08.2026Celtic — Falkirk2:1
- 25.04.2026Celtic — Falkirk3:1
- 01.02.2026Celtic — Falkirk2:0
- 14.01.2026Falkirk — Celtic0:1
- 29.10.2025Celtic — Falkirk4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →