Scottish Premiership, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Falkirk — Kilmarnock
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Falkirk are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Falkirk are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Falkirk — Kilmarnock What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Falkirk not to lose | 78% | |
| Kilmarnock not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Falkirk
- Falkirk goals
- Kilmarnock goals
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Form
- 10.10Dundee FC1:2
- 19.09away · St. Johnstone1:1
- 15.09Heart of Midlothian2:1
- 05.09away · Dundee United1:1
- 02.09Rangers1:2
- 10.10away · Rangers1:3
- 19.09Heart of Midlothian1:1
- 15.09away · Hibernian1:0
- 05.09away · Aberdeen0:0
- 02.09St. Mirren0:1
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Falkirk — Kilmarnock5:1
- 20.12.2025Kilmarnock — Falkirk0:1
- 01.11.2025Falkirk — Kilmarnock3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- Dundee UnitedAberdeenpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- RangersSt. Johnstonepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- St. MirrenDundee FCpreliminary4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →