Peruvian Liga 1 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
FBC Melgar — Comerciantes Unidos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FBC Melgar are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FBC Melgar are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- FBC Melgar: unbeaten in 4; Comerciantes Unidos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: FBC Melgar 1 win, Comerciantes Unidos 0, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FBC Melgar — Comerciantes Unidos What is xG? | 2.1–0.7 | |
| FBC Melgar not to lose | 90% | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FBC Melgar
- FBC Melgar goals
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 20.09Sport Boys1:1
- 12.09away · Cusco FC1:0
- 07.09Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:0
- 01.09away · Atlético Grau0:1
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 18.09away · Alianza Atlético1:2
- 12.09Sport Huancayo0:1
- 06.09away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 28.08FC Cajamarca2:3
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Comerciantes Unidos — FBC Melgar1:1
- 27.09.2025Comerciantes Unidos — FBC Melgar1:1
- 02.05.2025FBC Melgar — Comerciantes Unidos1:1
- 07.09.2024FBC Melgar — Comerciantes Unidos3:0
- 02.03.2024Comerciantes Unidos — FBC Melgar0:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →