Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Rostov are clear favourites: 53% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Rostov are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: FC Rostov 4 wins, Akron Togliatti 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| FC Rostov not to lose | 77% | |
| Akron Togliatti not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Rostov
- FC Rostov goals
- Akron Togliatti goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Akron Togliatti1:0
- 17.09Dinamo Moscow0:3
- 13.09away · Spartak Moscow0:3
- 05.09Fakel3:1
- 01.09CSKA Moscow2:0
- 13.10away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 09.10away · FC Rostov0:1
- 17.09FK Akhmat2:0
- 13.09away · FC Krasnodar1:1
- 06.09away · FC Orenburg2:2
Head to head
- 09.10.2026FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti1:0
- 04.08.2026Akron Togliatti — FC Rostov0:4
- 11.05.2026Akron Togliatti — FC Rostov1:3
- 01.11.2025FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti0:1
- 31.03.2025Akron Togliatti — FC Rostov2:3
Russian Cup on the same day
- FC OrenburgRodinapreliminary5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Spartak MoscowRubin Kazanpreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →