Swiss Super League, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Rheinpark Stadion
FC Vaduz — Basel
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, FC Vaduz to win (40%), came true.
Evenly matched: FC Vaduz 40%, Basel 34%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 76%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Basel are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Vaduz — Basel What is xG? | 2.0–1.9 | |
| FC Vaduz not to lose | 66% | |
| Basel not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 24% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 74% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 26% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz goals
- Basel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Thun1:2
- 13.09away · FC Zürich1:2
- 05.09Lausanne3:1
- 02.09away · Luzern1:2
- 30.08Grasshopper5:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Next matches
- ServetteFC Vaduz24 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- BaselGrasshopper25 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
Swiss Super League on the same day
- 2424522The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.3.9
- 6123161The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →