Swiss Super League, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Berit Sitterstadion
St. Gallen — Lausanne
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, St. Gallen to win (61%), came true.
St. Gallen are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St. Gallen are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Gallen — Lausanne What is xG? | 2.1–1.1 | |
| St. Gallen not to lose | 84% | |
| Lausanne not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Basel3:1
- 16.09away · Lugano1:4
- 12.09Sion0:3
- 06.09away · Servette2:0
- 02.09away · Grasshopper0:2
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Lausanne — St. Gallen1:1
- 23.11.2025St. Gallen — Lausanne1:0
- 31.08.2025Lausanne — St. Gallen1:2
- 15.03.2025St. Gallen — Lausanne0:2
- 26.01.2025St. Gallen — Lausanne3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 10 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 4, Championship round | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 5, Championship round | FC Zürich | 10 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 11, Relegation round | Grasshopper | 10 | 2 | -13 | 8 |
| 12, Relegation round | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
Next matches
- Young BoysSt. Gallen24 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.9
- SionLausanne25 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Swiss Super League on the same day
- 2424522The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.3.9
- 4026341The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:2.3.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →