Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites: 77% against 7% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fenerbahçe are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Fenerbahçe — No. 4, 13 pts; Alanyaspor — No. 6, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Fenerbahçe: unbeaten in 4; Alanyaspor: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Fenerbahçe 3 wins, Alanyaspor 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 93% | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fenerbahçe
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Alanyaspor goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Rizespor3:0
- 20.09Eyüpspor8:0
- 14.09away · Gaziantep FK0:0
- 10.09Roma1:1
- 05.09Beşiktaş1:2
- 10.10Erzurumspor FK0:0
- 19.09away · Çorum FK2:1
- 12.09Göztepe2:2
- 07.09away · Rizespor1:0
- 30.08away · Eyüpspor1:2
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Alanyaspor — Fenerbahçe2:3
- 17.09.2025Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor2:2
- 09.02.2025Alanyaspor — Fenerbahçe0:2
- 30.08.2024Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor3:0
- 11.02.2024Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 5729151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 1121682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →