Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Fethiyespor — Eyüpspor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Fethiyespor19%
Draw23%
Eyüpspor58%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Eyüpspor are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Eyüpspor are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fethiyespor — Eyüpspor What is xG?1.0–1.9
Fethiyespor not to lose42%
Eyüpspor not to lose81%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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Form

Fethiyespor

  • 03.03Fatih Karagümrük0:2
  • 03.02away · Trabzonspor0:3
  • 13.01Galatasaray1:2
  • 24.12away · Boluspor0:0
  • 04.12Bandırmaspor4:1

Eyüpspor

  • 12.10Göztepe0:4
  • 20.09away · Fenerbahçe0:8
  • 12.09Rizespor0:2
  • 06.09away · Çorum FK0:3
  • 30.08Alanyaspor2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →