Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Elazığspor — Erciyes 38
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Elazığspor are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Elazığspor — Erciyes 38 What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Elazığspor not to lose | 67% | |
| Erciyes 38 not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Elazığspor
- Elazığspor goals
- Erciyes 38 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
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- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
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- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- DüzcesporIsparta 32 Sporpreliminary4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →